45 Friday 12:15pm; as much as $2. $3. Make sure you keep up to date with the latest AFL and AFL Fantasy articles and follow my fan pages on Facebook , Twitter and Instagram to never miss a minute of the action!In front of the big sticks, Walker is easily the choice for the Coleman after kicking 95 goals across his last 35 games while Luke Pedlar – who was taken at pick 11 in the 2020 AFL Draft – is flying this pre-season and still Rising Star eligible. Determined by votes cast by the officiating umpires after each game, it is considered the highest honour for individual players in the AFL. 5 votes, with Gary Ablett Jr. The midfielder earned a record 36 votes, narrowly outpolling. Speaking on Fox Footy’s AFL 360 on Tuesday night, Whateley said he didn’t think the Brownlow Medal could be held in Grand Final week in 2020. would rediscover his 2020 Brownlow form, but he to is $501!. Tom Mitchell ($1. 50 to $1. Who are the favourites for this year's Brownlow Medal? Lachie Neale (Brisbane Lions) - $3. 4 disposals and 8. The award was first presented in 1993, and was won by Nathan Buckley of the then Brisbane Bears. Lucy Gilkes, partner of Josh Kelly of the Giants attends the Sydney Brownlow Medal Function at the Sydney Cricket Ground during the 2020 AFL Brownlow Medal count on October 18, 2020 in Sydney,. 25. They will be hoping for a finals appearance in 2020, something they haven't achieved since 2012. Neale is the 16th player in the game’s history to win a second Brownlow Medal and was lauded by AFL chairman Richard Goyder as “humble” and “a true champion of our game”. Next to Jump. 00. last updated: october 2, 2023 09:00 aest. The 2020 Brownlow Medal was the 93rd year the award was presented to the player adjudged the best and fairest player during the Australian Football League (AFL) home-and-away season. 3 10. Correct on 2/10/2023. Keep up to date with the latest Brownlow Medal betting odds throughout the season with a look at the markets after each round of. Two rounds into the 2023 AFL season and two young stars – Collingwood’s Nick Daicos and North Melbourne’s Luke Davies-Uniacke – are among the top three players. The medal count will begin at 5:30pm AWST/7. D. 00 to win the 2022 Brownlow Medal prior to Round 1, he is currently . com. 2024 Brownlow Medal Winner. TAB CLUB ODDS: $1. RICHMOND superstar Dustin Martin has won the 2017 Brownlow Medal after guiding the Tigers to their first AFL grand final in 35 years. 82 per game) in the shortened 2020 season set. 45 in 2018) and Lachie Neale ($1. Brisbane star Lachie Neale is crowned the 2020 Brownlow winner. 82 votes per match. . Average Votes Per Game TM Adj. Brownlow Medal: Sunday, October 18. $13 Jack Steele. The 2022 Brownlow Medal will be awarded on Monday 19 September, 2022. . TAB CLUB ODDS: $1. 251. 2020 Brownlow Medal. - $3. One of the most glamorous awards in football, the Coleman Medal honours the player who kicks the most goals in a home and away season. AFL Brownlow Medal Winner Betting Odds. Source: Getty Images. 55) and Ollie Wines ($3. WHEN IS THE BROWNLOW MEDAL?. 2020 AFL Premiership. He is the first player to poll 25 Brownlow votes or more in four seasons. 2020 AFL Premiership. However he played in 1976 and 1977 when double the votes were cast. $1. *Odds are current as of 11th November 2023, 12:30pm AEST. 3 (93) to 10. If you followed the AFL last year, you won’t be surprised to see Lachie Neale (5. Fremantle superstar Nat Fyfe with his 2019 Brownlow Medal. 50 since. Ben Cousins reportedly set to accept AFL invite to Perth Brownlow. Like everything else in 2020, the Brownlow Medal is going virtual and will be held on Sunday 18 October. D. Nick Daicos was probably a little too short to win the Brownlow Medal at stages throughout the year, and though he was gradually pegged back by the likes of Christian Petracca and Marcus Bontempelli, a month ago he was still odds on favourite to win it. Read on for the club-by-club Brownlow Medal tally. MORE: AFL Awards winners 2023: All-Australian team, AFLPA MVP, Leigh Matthews Trophy, AFLCA Champion, Most Courageous, Best Captain Brownlow Medal Predictor 2023 Top. $1. The AFL’s night of nights had a much different feeling in 2020, conducted virtually because of COVID-19, but one WAG always seems to rise above the pack and this year it was the wife of 2020. It is also available to be streamed on 7Plus or via the AFL Live app. 00+. follow @aflratingslab. . The superstar midfielder was paying $2. TheJanuaryMan said: That time of year again to chat all things Brownlow. Averaged 30 touches a game to help steer Brisbane to the finals and was arguably more damaging going forward than in 2020. Famous Racing Families; Horse Racing Betting Previews. Brownlow. 00. 1%: $3. 00. Here are the instructions how to enable JavaScript in your web browser. As the odds for the 2021 Brownlow Medal suggest, the race to be crowned the AFL’s best and fairest player is wide open. 5 centre attendances in 2022, ranked fifth in the side and 87th in the competition. The 10-vote margin was the equal-biggest final lead in Brownlow Medal history since the 3-2-1 format was introduced, while his 1. Outside of the top three, ou can back Errol. Josh Kelly. $4. 75 Laird; $2. Keep up to date with the latest Brownlow Medal betting odds throughout the season with a look at the markets after each round of the season. AFL’s night of nights has a slightly different look this year – a trend we’ve grown accustomed to as a community as the impacts of the pandemic roll on. Check it out at the home of sports & racing - Odds! Odds has latest tips, insights, stats and odds comparison for all upcoming AFL games, futures, and awards. Note: Odds from Neds. Ollie Wines (Port Adelaide) - $3. His 31 Brownlow votes and 10 vote victory over second place in the Brownlow medal, in a shortened season, demonstrates. 00) is also among the AFL Coleman award betting favorites for 2022. Jack Billings ($151) Our pick. Luke Porter 51. Stake not returned. The count will be the final Brownlow of AFL CEO Gillon McLachlan's reign as the league's boss. 2020 BROWNLOW PREDICTOR. Be sure to check back each week of the 2020 AFL Season for an in-depth look at the some of the better players for each round and who should get the votes. Boak firms in Brownlow Medal betting. Year. Who will win the 2022 Brownlow Medal? Get theWatch every 2021 Toyota AFL Finals Series match before Grand Final. First published on Mon 25 Sep 2023 09. First in best dressed for this one. It will look a little different to previous editions of the Brownlow, with red carpets replaced by zoom calls as the first ever virtual Brownlow Medal count takes place. THE LEADER Nick Daicos. LUKE PARKER (SYDNEY SWANS) Like Taylor Adams at Collingwood, many of Parker’s most high-profile teammates. 90; Nick Daicos. Votes EG Ave. Image by The-Pope, CC BY-SA 4. Abbreviations key #=Jumper GM=Games played KI=Kicks MK=Marks HB=Handballs DI=Disposals DA=Disposal average GL=Goals BH=Behinds HO=Hit outs TK=Tackles. We identified Travis Boak and Marcus Bontempelli in our last Brownlow Medal update, as. 2020. 2020 Brownlow Medal. com. Odds via Dabble (25/9). The 2022 Brownlow Medal will be awarded on Monday 19 September, 2022. Look back at. TAB ODDS. 2022. Get the latest odds on all horse racing, AFL, NRL, EPL, NBA & more here!2020 afl draft; 2019 afl draft; 2018 afl draft; 2017 afl draft; 2016 afl draft; 2015 afl draft; 2014 afl draft; 2013 afl draft; 2012 afl draft; 2011 afl draft; afl trade news . BROWNLOW MEDAL ODDS* Source: TAB, current as of 5. 00) is expected to challenge Neale for the AFL’s biggest individual honor this year. 32 Lachie Neale (Brisbane) 30 Nick Daicos (Collingwood) 29 Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) 28 Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) 27 Tim Taranto (Richmond) 25 Jordan Dawson (Adelaide) 25 Christian Petracca (Melbourne) Sportsbet odds. au predictor: 26. TAB ODDS. Neale was voted best on ground in a remarkable 10. Cripps claims 'Charlie' in exhilarating finish. afl brownlow medal odds; afl coleman medal odds; afl rising star odds; afl suspensions; betting articles; afl suspensions. There was no love for Nat Fyfe Nat Fyfe has won two Brownlow Medals — but none of the Fox Footy experts polled are predicting a third. Brownlow. Adelaide: Shane McAdam (Round 1),. Favouritism for the 2020 AFL premiership changed over the. His mid-tier price-tag might scare some people, but that number could easily eclipse $500k by the end of the season. Betfair predictor: 28. Round 14 votesStream the full or condensed replay of the 2020 Toyota AFL Grand Final on KAYO SPORTS. [Brownlow Index] 2020 Brownlow Medal [][[2020 Team Totals] [2020 Round by round]This is the Fox Footy Brownlow Tracker, which has all the votes from every game. Description The Brownlow Medal is the highest individual honour in the AFL. 2020 afl round 13 betting tips. 00: Marcus Bontempelli: $10. AFL 2022 Brownlow Medal. Brownlow Medal: Sunday, October 18. Exclusive Brownlow tracker reveals the projected top 20 leaderboard ahead of final two rounds. Nick Dacios is the favourite to win the Brownlow Medal. Really thinking of going big on Gawn top 20 Macrae top 10 Merrett top 10 Martin top 10 Petracca top 5 missed Gawn at 1. Fairest and best: 2020 Brownlow Medal winner Lachie Neale on the run for Brisbane during the Lions' preliminary final loss to the Cats on Saturday night. AFL Tables - 2022 Brownlow Medal. Get the latest odds on all horse racing, AFL, NRL, EPL, NBA & more here!Sep 25, 2023, 4:41am. 00: Christian Petracca: $7. Rest of the field. MATCH CENTRE *Odds are current as of 24th September 2023, 6:32pm AEST VIEW ALL SCORES MORE BROWNLOW COVERAGE CLUB-BY-CLUB TIPS: Every team’s best Brownlow Medal hopes GAME-BY-GAME PREDICTOR: When Brownlow favourites will poll big RETURN OF THE KINGS: Superstars lead pack of Brownlow smokies Brownlow Medal betting markets on which individual player will take out ‘Charlie’ isn’t necessarily a player from a team highest up the AFL ladder in line to collect the trophy. The 10 best AFL players. AFL 2020 KEY DATES. 00. Blog Home; Racing Tips; Horse Racing. The critical part of his season relating to votes will be early having started the season across half-back where historically votes are not awarded for uncontested ball but his impact on games was certainly profound. He’s played all 17 games for the mighty Brisbane Lions (proudly sponsored by Neds) averaging 27 disposals a game. The Richmond Tigers dominated the Giants in the 2019 decider and the reigning premiers are the favourites to win the 2020 flag at $4. Neale did not always stand out above others on a footy field. 2020 afl draft: games played in 2021; 2019 afl draft; 2018 afl draft; 2017 afl draft;. Brownlow Medal Winner Odds; Nick Daicos: $7. BROWNLOW MEDAL WINNER ODDS. Champion Data’s exclusive Brownlow tracker and bookmakers have one player a clear leader for the. There was no love for Nat Fyfe Nat Fyfe has won two Brownlow Medals — but none of the Fox Footy experts polled are predicting a third. Rowell’s Brownlow odds have been slashed in a few weeks from $81 to an $8. J. Toby Greene. Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) $2. TheJanuaryMan said: That time of year again to chat all things Brownlow. 25 in 2020) all claiming the. Take a look at our round 14 votes and leaderboard below. Neale. AFL Draft 2020: Check out the best small-medium forwards from the. By Jake Equid. Martin (CAR) COLLINGWOOD 86 def WESTERN BULLDOGS 34 3. Last Brownlow winner. 17 EDT. 25. 5 : 35: Collingwood won by 30 pts [Match stats]Lachie Neale's Brownlow Medal win completes Kybybolite kid's evolution into the AFL's best player By Cody Atkinson and Sean Lawson Posted Sun 18 Oct 2020 at 1:04pm Sunday 18 Oct 2020 at 1:04pm Sun. Rory Laird's ability to be a ball magnet made him the eye-catcher for. Choose a bookmaker that caters for the discerning Aussie wagerer from the list of top sportsbooks our experts have investigated and ended up reviewing positively. Four key contenders for AFL’s top honour amid Pie’s bid. The major players in the mix to win according to. Fellow. Melbourne’s Christian Petracca and St Kilda’s Jack Steele tied for third on 20 votes each. Round by Round analysis of the Brownlow Medal Count. IT COULD be a special evening for Lachie Neale on Monday night. Picture: AFL Photos. Blog Menu. Bet live and online with TAB, Australia’s number 1 racing and sports betting website. West Coast. Get ready to immerse yourself in the excitement of US election betting with Betfair! Remember, [US election betting] and [US election odds] are just a click away. Carlton captain Patrick Cripps clinched the 2022 Brownlow Medal in an exhilarating count on Sunday night, polling three votes in the final round to steal the lead and claim his maiden 'Charlie. AFL Draft 2020: Check out the best small-medium forwards from the. In 2021, ESPN is giving you an advantage with our one-of-a-kind predictor, which has correctly picked six out of the past seven winners. Want the inside word on who's set to take out Charlie this year? Look no further. $1. In fact, 2021 winner Ollie Wines was the only player favored ahead of Bontempelli to win the award. Leading Brownlow vote-getters for every AFL team. 00 to clinch the 2022 Brownlow Medal. who finished equal-third in 2020 and has polled 23 votes in each of the. It seems online bookmakers have conceded that nobody can run down the. In 2021, ESPN is giving you an advantage with our one-of-a-kind predictor, which has correctly picked six out of the past seven winners. My stable to this point: Neale - $10. The 2020 Brownlow Medal betting market has turned into a race for second place behind Lachie Neale, who is the clear frontrunner following injuries to a few of his chief rivals. BROWNLOW MEDAL ODDS. He is also five votes ahead of Adelaide captain Jordan Dawson, who is on 9. (AFL Photos via Getty Images) Nick Daicos (Collingwood) - $2. The 29-year-old averaged 30. Having a sneaky bet on the Brownlow Medal has become a time-honoured tradition but, with Lachie Neale so short in the betting, for those punters not adventurous enough to tip against him, they. 45 HawthornTop AFL bookmakers release opening odds for the 2022 Brownlow Medal winner. The 30-year-old led the AFL in clearances with eight per game and averaged 26. Having a sneaky bet on the Brownlow Medal has become a time-honoured tradition but, with Lachie Neale so short in the betting, for those punters not adventurous enough to tip against him, they. Bookies launch Brownlow Medal odds without Neale. The Brownlow Medal is the highest individual honour in the AFL. 2023 Cricket World Cup Tips; EPL Week 12. This year marks the 93rd year the Brownlow Medal will be awarded. 3 Markets. Brisbane star Lachie Neale has won this year's Brownlow Medal, polling 31 votes from 17 games in the shortened AFL season. The 2020 Brownlow Medallist has played a starring role in Brisbane's top-two campaign, averaging 27. 2020 Brownlow Medal odds. Stay abreast of all the Round 7 AFL fixtures, games, news, tips, odds, results, reaction and video as they come to hand. See more AFL futures odds at Sportsbet. Can he hold on? Daicos has suddenly dropped below Marcus Bontempelli and Christian Petracca in. The Eagles are 2nd favourite at around the $6. AFL 2020 KEY DATES. 55 Geelong. Brownlow Medal Winners [Multiple Winners] [Miscellaneous Records 1984-2023] [Player Career Totals] [Alltime Team Totals] Year Player Team Votes GM 3 2 1 GP Ave; 2023. 10 Lachie Neale (Brisbane Lions) $3. 7 clearances and 4. Feb 22, 2020. The odds for the 2023 Brownlow Medal are now live, with many of the top AFL betting sites featuring extensive betting on the AFL league best-and-fairest. The 2022 winner Patrick Cripps tops the early 2023 Brownlow odds, ahead of Brisbane Lions star Lachie Neale and Melbourne ace Clayton Oliver. AFL. The AFL's Brownlow predictor has Neale finishing with 25 votes, while Neale won the ABC Footballer of the Year Award with 23 votes. com. Only 110 V/AFL players have been fortunate enough to win the Brownlow Medal — about 1 per cent of all league players to. 75 Lachie Neale (Brisbane) $4. As. Lachie Neale and Marcus Bontempelli are in the running for the 2020 Brownlow. 8. AFL Brownlow Medal 2021: Date, time, odds, favourites, winners, history and everything you need to know. Sep 25, 2023, 4:41am. 7. 4. Here's the list 👇. Geelong’s Tom Hawkins was the competition’s top goalkicker last season, booting 62 goals in 25 games. The midfielder was not long removed from one of the most dominant seasons in AFL history. The favourites we’re analysing, along with their Pointsbet odds of winning the Brownlow (as of 8pm Wednesday), are: $3. Odds via Dabble (25/9) 2023 Brownlow Medal live blog. The 2020 Brownlow Medal was the 93rd year the award was presented to the player adjudged the best and fairest player during the Australian Football League (AFL) home. Discover the AFL's lowest scores of all time! Unearth the lowest moments in AFL history. Here are the Top 10 Brownlow Medal Odds 2023 at the conclusion of the home and away season according to Ladbrokes: Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) $2. Ollie. History was made as Lachie Neale won a second Brownlow Medal, but the count produced plenty of surprise results. 1. NOTE: Odds as of 12:30pm Saturday August 22. Prestia (RIC) 2. 4 disposals and polled eight Brownlow votes from. He has served as Geelong captain since the 2023 season. Nov 27, 2019. 90 favourite at TAB to win this season’s Brownlow Medal. Unlike other awards, the Brownlow is determined by votes from the field umpires who. 2024 Brownlow Medal Winner. In a surprise to no one, Lachie Neale blitzed the field to claim his first Brownlow Medal. Clayton Oliver and Lachie Neale. Line (-41. The 2016 Brownlow Medalist has averaged over 20 disposals a game for the Cats this season and has time after time found himself in the AFL’s elite. AFL. Lachie Neale. Get the best available AFL odds from all online bookmakers with Oddschecker, the home of betting value. Oct 18, 2020, 3:10am. Sport; AFL; News; Brownlow Medal 2020 live coverage: Lachie Neale wins by 10 votes. Via TopSport, Clayton Oliver ($3. team odds line total points; sydney: 1. . BROWNLOW ODDS. While Neale, the 2020 Brownlow medallist, remains the clear choice to win the AFL’s top individual honour, Oliver’s chances tickled the fancy of one TAB punter, who dropped $20,000 on the. Brownlow Medal Predictor 2020: Lachie Neale, Jack Steele and Christian Petracca. 2020: Lachie. Let’s not forget that Hawkins scooped the prize in 2020. The 30-year-old also equalled his 2020 tally with 31 votes and has now. 1 clearances across the home and away season. Predictions & Betting Odds. 2023 AFL Brownlow Contenders ; 2020 AFL Premiership Odds March 18 th 2020, 1:12pm, By: admin. 2020: Lachie Neale. 00, while Marcus Bontempelli is available at $10. 5. (AFL Photos via Getty Images) Nick Daicos (Collingwood) - $2. having a number of. Tipping. 00) – who finished four goals shy of McKay on the 2021 AFL Coleman Medal ladder – is the bookies’ second favorite to win the award this year. 00) at the very top of the bookmakers’ Brownlow Medal odds list for 2021. Richmond's big win is third on the list. by Staff Writer The Brisbane Lions’ Lachie Neale has been TAB’s outright favourite for the 2020 Brownlow Medal since the completion of Round 4 and he is currently $1. $13 Jack Steele. au 2020 Brownlow Medal Info Page IF you like what you read be sure to check out more SportsbyFry articles by hitting this link . Key Takeaways. 00+. The 30-year-old led the AFL in clearances with eight per game and averaged 26. We look at the best Brownlow Medal, including top 5, leader after Round 10 and most three-vote games. 50 St Kilda opened $2. Photo: Getty Images. This one, though, is an interesting contest despite both sides appearing also-rans in. AFL Brownlow Medal Betting Odds . Lachie Neale and Marcus Bontempelli are in the running for the 2020 Brownlow. My stable to this point: Neale - $10. Rory Laird – 4 votes Reilly O’Brien – 4 Matt Crouch – 3 Lachlan Sholl – 3 Rory. 50) as favourite to win the 2020 Coleman Medal. Note: Odds from bet365. Kayo is your ticket to the 2020 Toyota AFL Premiership Season. The Charles Brownlow Trophy, better known as the Brownlow Medal (and informally as Charlie ), is awarded to the fairest and best player in the Australian Football League (AFL) during the home-and-away season, as determined by votes cast by the three officiating field umpires after each game. Brownlow Medal Odds. If it only feels like a matter of weeks since Ollie Wines clinched the 2021 Brownlow Medal, that’s because it is. last updated: october 1, 2023 09:00 aest. Formula 1 Tennis NFL Golf NCAAB Men's March Madness MLB NHL US (EN) United Kingdom Brownlow Medal 2022 betting guide: Odds, club-by-club votes,. Collingwood. 00. 9. 75 M. Richmond's huge win over the Giants makes the list. NOTE: Odds as of 9:00pm Friday October 23. Make confident AFL bets with Odds. Lachie Neale and wife Julie celebrate winning the 2023 Brownlow Medal. Thursday, June 11 7:40pm AEST at the MCG. 30pm (AEST). 5% win probability, with Western Bulldogs captain Marcus Bontempelli the next most likely at 24. This model predicted eight of the top 10 vote-getters in 2019, including being higher on Nat Fyfe than the oddsmakers, and all five of the top five in 2020 and 2021, including the trifecta of. Wines will defend the title when the new seasons starts in March 2022. The Brownlow Medal is the highest individual honour in the AFL and each year pundits attempt to calculate the victor before 'Charlie' has been draped around the winners' neck. Correct on 2/10/2023. Factoring in an eighth All-Australian and being named captain of the team for the very first time, 2020 has been yet another outstanding season for the Geelong superstar and he’ll poll plenty of. Kayo is your ticket to the 2020 Toyota AFL Premiership Season. Sport; AFL; News; Brownlow Medal 2020 live coverage: Lachie Neale wins by 10 votes. Adelaide. 7 (67) win. 75 Laird; $2. WHEN IS THE BROWNLOW MEDAL?. - Jake Michaels. afl brownlow medal odds; afl coleman medal odds; afl rising star odds; afl suspensions; betting articles; afl premiership odds. One of the tightest Brownlow medal counts in many years comes to a conclusion in Perth, with Port Adelaide's Ollie Wines winning a nailbiter to take the AFL's best and fairest award. Brisbane Lions. West Coast are odds on to make the grand final – and the favourites to win the flag, according to. Mar 09, 2022 · Career Brownlow votes: 51. 9 disposals in a strong Lions midfield. Here’s every player who polled on your team. Ruck Contest. AFL’s night of nights has a slightly different look this year – a trend we’ve grown accustomed to as a community as the impacts of the pandemic roll on. Tom Mitchell ($1. Check it out at the home of sports & racing - Odds! Odds has latest tips, insights, stats and odds comparison for all upcoming AFL games, futures, and awards. The 10-vote margin was the equal-biggest final lead in Brownlow Medal history since the 3-2-1 format was introduced, while his 1. First published on Mon 25 Sep 2023 09. 2020 AFL. The 2010 Brownlow Medal was the 83rd year the award was presented to the player adjudged the fairest and best player during the Australian Football League (AFL) home and away season. In 2022, ESPN is giving you an. At the AFL website, it’s Neale (32 votes) in pole position to claim a second Brownlow, finishing as outright leader ahead of Daicos (30), Butters (29), Bontempelli (28) and Taranto (27). *Odds are current as of 5th September 2023, 2:21am AEST. He reads the play well at stoppage situations and works his way out of congestion to open space with ease. Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets. AFL - Brownlow Medal Betting Odds. Following two years away from the AFL's capital, the Brownlow Medal Count will return to the Crown Palladium in Melbourne's CBD. Hawthorn vs Essendon Thursday August 27, Adelaide Oval, 4:40pm (AEST) Once a marquee fixture, Hawthorn v Essendon games don't quite have the same appeal. Mar 19, 2022 #30. Brisbane star Lachie Neale has won this year's Brownlow Medal, polling 31 votes from 17 games in the shortened AFL season. Averaged 30 touches a game to help steer Brisbane to the finals and was arguably more damaging going. Grand Final: Saturday, October 24, 7. Western Bulldogs champion Marcus Bontempelli finishes second again. AFL. Carlton captain Patrick Cripps’ historic Brownlow Medal win may provide the blueprint for this year’s winner of the AFL’s most prestigious award. The Brownlow Medal is the highest individual honour in the AFL. Not exactly an outsider, but longer odds than he has been in recent years.